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How do you bat first for the Boston Red Sox with one of the best offensive teams in baseball, hit, .301, steal a major league leading high 70 bases, but finish 34th in runs scored scoring only 94 runs?
That's the problem the Red Sox have with Jacoby Ellsbury.
Ellsbury only walked 49 times in 691 plate appearances. That means he's only walking 7% of the time.
It's not like he showed any improvement over his first year either when he walked only 41 times in 609 plate appearances!
In 2009, Ellsbury was 113th in walks in MLB yet he was 10th in the AL in plate appearances.
If the Red Sox are going to have any chance of dethroning the Yankees, Elsbury is going to have to walk a at least 90-100 times; this would translate directly into an additional 20-25 runs scored which could make the difference.
Jacoby Ellsbury might be a stellar Fantasy baseball player again because of his steals, but that won't translate into wins for the Sox unless he walks significantly more.- Blake Kearny
Blake is a retired baseball scout (34 years) from Los Angeles, California. He currently runs a baseball school for children in Los Angeles.
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Certainly, there's some room for improvement, and I'm sure the Sox would love him to walk more. But of the three big threats who stole 60+ bases, Michael Bourn led with 63 walks and Carl Crawford had 51. Take a look at all the players who stole at least 20 bases last season. Only one of them walked more than 100 times, and that was Chone Figgins, a much more developed and complete hitter than Ells. The other guys who draw a lot of walks have much better power than Ellsbury, e.g. Bobby Abreu, Chase Utley, Jayson Werth, etc.
Until Ellsbury develops better plate coverage (he's still vulnerable to breaking stuff down and in), an opposite field stroke, or pull power, it's going to be an uphill climb to better more than 60-70 walks per year.